Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. ET, USA). Give me the fast car at a fast track. Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Otherwise, he likely would have had a good finish. A name and email address are required to post a comment. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. ET on DraftKings. AD has a career average finish of 16.4 here at Michigan International Speedway and has finished 16th or better in eight of the last eleven races at this track. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. By default it is sorted by average projected FPTS. The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. Reddick was especially strong at the 1.5-mile ovals of Kansas and Charlotte, and overall he comes in sixth in my FLAGS rankings at similar tracks. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. Rest of Jordans Card Kyle Busch Top 5 Finish (+115) See notes above on Kyle Busch and head on over to BetRivers to grab this at +115 odds. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Blaney Still, this is another race to play DraftKings Daily Fantasy Sports, so of course us degenerates are going to be interested and watching closely on Sunday. 0 of 7. He finished 10th, 3rd, 3rd, 4th and 3rd in his last five races at the track. Over the combined events, Reddick has the 2nd best driver rating and the 7th best Total Speed Ranking. Jones followed up that speed with a third-place finish after leading 18 laps. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Below we detail a NASCAR pick at 5-1 odds with value for Sunday's race at Auto Club Speedway. This #23 Toyota is starting to run consistently better than early on in the year, and at Pocono last month (another high horsepower track), Bubba had the 12th-fastest Green Flag Speed. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. Over the last three races ran at Michigan, Newman has an AFP(average finishing position) of 20.3. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook.

FanDuel Lineup

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DraftKingsLineup

. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. And, as always, good luck! This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season She earned her B.A. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. Leagues are still filling up! There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. (MA), Arnold Palmer Invitational Top PGA DFS Picks, Values and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings, PGA DFS: Top Cash Game Picks for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Stats Preview: Course Fits, GPP Picks, and Values, PGA Models: FantasyLabs PGA Perfect% and SimLeverage, FanDuel Promo Code: Grab a $1K First Bet for Wednesdays CBB, NBA Action, DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Michigan: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. The Cup Series has spent the summer competing on road courses, the Superspeedway at Atlanta and flat tracks. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. If you As far as Michigan goes, Jones record is decent: a career average finish of 15.5 over six career starts and only one top 10a 3rd-place finish back in 2017. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. So, should you consider a NASCAR at Michigan DFS stack with Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should your attention be elsewhere? However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. She's currently an assistant editor while continuing to write daily fantasy and news articles. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? Last year, NASCAR bettors had Michigan DraftKings NASCAR Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown, go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel, Homestead DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Dixie Vodka 400), Kansas 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Hollywood Casino 400), Darlington 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Cook Out Southern 500), Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Zero Sugar 400), Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling At The Glen), Richmond 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Federated Auto Parts 400), Sharps Moving NASCAR Betting Lines For Auto Club Speedway Race. In the results column in the last three races on this sub-track type, Busch has results of 4th (Las Vegas), 3rd (Kansas) and 2nd (Charlotte). All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. When it comes to the tire combination this weekend, Goodyear is bringing the same left side tires that the Cup Series ran here at Michigan last year. Can he carry that momentum to this week across the country? call 1-800-327-5050 or visit https://helplinema.org to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially 24/7. Head to SportsLine to Austin Dillon 5. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. As long as he doesnt wreck, Austin Dillon is a very strong DraftKings option this weekend at Michigan. Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. You could also go Ryan Blaney instead of Chase Elliott in that second lineup spot. The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. Try it out! If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Joey Logano, Austin Dillon, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin were the only full-time Cup Series drivers who bested Almirolas average finish of 12.3 in these events last year. Busch has been one of the most consistent drivers at Michigan. If this does happen, there would be some really good value on DraftKings, since so many top drivers crashed at Daytona International Speedway last week. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. Larsons been the premiere performer at minimal wear intermediates this year (Las Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte), and if it wasnt for a late caution at Kansas he would be 3 for 3 at reaching Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. Over the last three races at Michigan, over half of the drivers that started in the top 10 end there as well, so before picking your team for this week, make sure to take a quick glance and see who is starting where for the race this weekend because it could pay dividends. But that happens sometimes at superspeedways; you cant really control whether your driver will get lucky or not. Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. The Michigan State Spartans (17-10, 9-7 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (17-11, 9-8) meet Saturday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. He is also one of the cheaper drivers with a cost of only 16.4, and adding Vickers allows for a little more room to spend on your third and fourth driver. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? With horsepower at a premium, teams and drivers will need to make speed. In the four races prior to that, Larsons results were 1st, 1st, 1st and 3rd. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. Busch should do better; after all, Tyler Reddick had great speed in this car in 2022 (more on him later). That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. Try selecting a different location. Instead of selecting the winning team or manufacturer, we will earn 10 bonus points for selecting the driver who finishes the best in a Head-to-Head matchup. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole This chart measures speed by segments in each race. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. Aric Almirola: +500. Consider donating to support byclicking here. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Ricky Stenhouse The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. He wont be totally low-owned, but my model gives him a solid 21% chance to end up in the optimal lineup. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. Alex Bowman 3. In the race, Reddick finished 8th in Stage #2, had an 11.6 average running position and was running right around 8th until he got loose in front of Joey Logano during a restart on lap 186 which caused a multi-car wreck. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. AJ Allmendinger didnt run very many intermediate tracks last year, but he did cross the line in 10th at World Wide Technology Raceway. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. and give one of our public leagues a go. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. The optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10. This type of track suits Reddick very well. Kyle Larson 2. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. Larson is a three-time winner at Michigan and Hendrick Motorsports has had the strongest cars all season. For NASCAR at Michigan, McClure is high on Kyle Busch ($10,500 on DraftKings and $13,500 on FanDuel). Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. I like his low salary to help you fit some of the top-tier drivers in your roster. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. Tenth place scores 34, while 11th gets 32, and decreasing by one from there through 20th. That actually wasnt a huge setback for Reddick, but after he spun on lap 194 while running in 11th and no caution came out you could stick a fork in him. Reddick notched his second career Cup Series victory last week at the Indy Road Course. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Before we get into this DraftKings article, make sure you check out my FanDuel write-up for Michigan as well (click here) because theres a lot of crossover between these two sites. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. The Preview Show crew predicts the top fantasy picks and bad bets at Michigan International Speedway. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR DraftKings picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway, airing Sunday, Feb. 26 at 3:30 p.m. Throw in the fact that Chase has the best average finish (7.7) among active drivers at this track and you really have to like rolling the dice on last years Cup Champion. Theres no better time than now to give it a try!